# Stormy Weather | On Point

Stormy Weather

2012 August 21
by Vickie Chachere

Before we get too excited about Tropical Depression 9, which has formed in the Atlantic Ocean, we checked in USF Professor Jennifer Collins, who is one of the nation’s leading hurricane experts and leads USF’s Weather Center. It seems with 50,000 guests headed our way for the Republican National Convention, the weather is making some people nervous.

Collins, though, says remain calm. She writes:

August to October is the climatological peak season for hurricanes in the North Atlantic so it is not unusual for us to be expecting more storms right now.  Many people may have seen some pictures of models directing what may be called Hurricane Isaac later today towards us. This MAY become a reality and I recommend that everyone check their hurricane kits and prepare accordingly. We do have at least three things on our side.  1) Predicting so far in advance (about a week away) does not yield the most accurate forecasts; 2) There are many different models out there and some of them do track the system away from us, some of them keeping it over the ocean; and 3) There is a chance for significant land interactions (if it passes over Hispaniola or Cuba the storm could significantly weaken in intensity).

 

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